Consumer Borrowing in U.S. Falls Record $7.9 Billion (Update1)
Jan. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Consumer borrowing dropped by a record
$7.9 billion in November as Americans scrambled to boost savings
in face of the deepening recession and amid an investor exodus
from securities backed by credit-card and other loans.
The slump brought consumer credit down to $2.57 trillion,
and capped the first back-to-back monthly decline since 1992, the
Federal Reserve said today in Washington. The biggest decrease
came in securitized assets, an area where Fed policy makers are
creating a new $200 billion lending program to shore up credit.
Today’s figures foreshadow a prolonged drop in consumer
spending as households try to reduce debt with their net worth
declining and job losses accelerating, analysts said.
“Consumers have clammed up,” said Ken Mayland, president
of ClearView Economics LLC in Pepper Pike, Ohio, who forecast a
decline. “The reduction in consumer credit doesn’t stop here,
and will spill over into 2009. Households are bolstering their
balance sheets.”
The Fed’s figures don’t cover borrowing secured by real
estate. In October, credit fell by $2.8 billion, previously
reported as a drop of $3.5 billion.
Economists had forecast credit would be little changed,
according to the median of 28 estimates in a survey conducted by
Bloomberg News. Projections ranged from a gain of $6.9 billion to
a decline of $5 billion.
Jobless Claims
A report from the Labor Department showed the number of
Americans collecting unemployment benefits surged to 4.6 million
two weeks ago, a 26-year high, as the labor market worsened.
Initial jobless claims, which have been plagued by efforts to
adjust the figures for the holidays, unexpectedly fell by 24,000
to 467,000 in the week that ended Jan. 3, the lowest level in
almost three months.
Total consumer borrowing fell at a 3.7 percent annual rate
in November, the biggest percentage decline since January 1998,
the Fed said today. The decline in dollar terms was the biggest
since records began in 1943.
Revolving debt such as credit cards decreased by $2.8
billion. Non-revolving debt, including auto loans, dropped $5.2
billion for the month.
Fed Actions
Fed policy makers last month cut the benchmark interest rate
target to as low as zero for the first time to prevent the
recession from worsening. They also are taking steps to ease the
flow of credit and reduce borrowing costs.
“Credit conditions continued to tighten for both households
and businesses, and ongoing declines in equity prices further
reduced household wealth,” according to minutes of the Fed’s
December meeting. Policy makers also “expected economic activity
to contract sharply in the fourth quarter of 2008 and in early
2009.”
The drop in wealth and lack of credit are forcing consumers
to cut back. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Macy’s Inc. and Gap Inc.
slashed earnings forecasts after the worst holiday-shopping
season in at least four decades, industry figures showed today.
Automakers are also struggling. Car sales fell 36 percent in
December, capping the industry’s worst year since 1992. General
Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC, which got emergency federal loans
to help stay in business, this month broadened incentive programs
to boost sales.
Credit-card companies, facing rising defaults, are taking
steps to get government funds and retail deposits. Discover
Financial Services in December won approval to become a bank
holding company, and rival American Express Co. also is
converting into a bank, allowing it to obtain capital under the
Treasury’s bailout plan.
The rate of delinquencies on indirect auto loans, which are
made through third parties such as car dealerships, reached a
record 3.25 percent in the third quarter, the American Bankers
Association reported yesterday.
Late payments on eight different types of loans, including
auto lending and personal loans, rose 8 percent from the previous
quarter to a 29-year high, the group said.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Shobhana Chandra in Washington at
schandra1@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: January 8, 2009 16:19 EST