U.S. Stocks Slump as Oil Surges; Dow Average Enters Bear Market
July 2 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks tumbled, sending the Dow
Jones Industrial Average into a bear market, after oil rose to a
record and steelmakers and coal producers retreated on concern
the economic slump will worsen.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slid to its lowest since
July 2006 as crude climbed above $144 a barrel, dimming the
outlook for corporate profits. General Motors Corp., the biggest
U.S. automaker, plunged to a 54-year low on Merrill Lynch & Co.'s
warning that ``bankruptcy is not impossible.'' Nucor Corp. led
the steepest decline in steel shares since 2002 as concern grew
that the auto slump will cut demand and the government said
metals orders decreased. Peabody Energy Co., the largest U.S.
coal producer, slid as European prices fell the most since 2005.
``Investor sentiment is clearly miserable right now,'' said
Wayne Wilbanks, who oversees about $1.2 billion as chief
investment officer of Wilbanks Smith & Thomas Asset Management in
Norfolk, Virginia. ``A lot of this misery among investors is
starting to get priced into the indices.''
The Dow lost 166.75 points, or 1.5 percent, to 11,215.51.
The S&P 500 plunged 23.38, or 1.8 percent, to 1,261.53, extending
its 2008 loss to 14 percent. The Nasdaq Composite Index slid
53.51, or 2.3 percent, to 2,251.46. More than five stocks fell
for each that rose on the New York Stock Exchange.
Technology and consumer shares also helped fuel the market's
retreat after a private report showed a bigger-than-forecast drop
in jobs last month. The 30-stock Dow average extended its retreat
from the October record to more than the 20 percent, the first
time since 2002 the gauge has closed below the threshold that
signals a so-called bear market.
The S&P 500 has dropped 19.4 percent from its October record,
while the Nasdaq has lost 21 percent from a nearly six year high
on Oct. 31.
Bear Market
GM has led the Dow's retreat into a bear market, slumping 74
percent since the 30-stock gauge's record of 14,164.53 on Oct. 9.
Dow components Citigroup Inc., American International Group Inc.
and Bank of America Corp. each tumbled more than 50 percent over
the same period as losses and writedowns at the world's biggest
financial institutions topped $400 billion following the collapse
of the U.S. mortgage market.
The Dow experienced 11 bear markets before this one since
1962, according to Westport, Connecticut-based research and
money-management firm Birinyi Associates Inc. Declines averaged
29 percent and lasted 322 days, Birinyi data show. The biggest
was a 45 percent drop during the 694-day period from January 1973
to December 1974.
GM sank $1.77, or 15 percent, to $9.98 today, the lowest
since September 1954. The automaker was cut to ``underperform''
from ``buy'' at Merrill on bankruptcy concerns. GM, battered by
the slowest U.S. automotive market in 15 years, may need to raise
as much as $15 billion, Merrill said.
Crude Rally
Crude oil for August delivery rose 2 percent to $143.74 a
barrel at the close of floor trading on the New York Mercantile
Exchange after the Energy Department said supplies fell 1.98
million barrels to 299.8 million in the week ended June 27, the
lowest since January. Inventories were forecast to rise 500,000
barrels, according to the median of nine estimates in a Bloomberg
News survey. Futures touched a record $144.32 after the close of
floor trading and have doubled in the past year.
Oil's jump helped drag down a measure of industrial shares
in the S&P 500 by 3 percent to the lowest level since August 2006.
FedEx Corp., the second-largest U.S. package-shipping company,
dropped $1.67 to $74.70. Caterpillar Inc., the world's biggest
maker of earthmoving equipment, declined $3.67 to $70.42.
``As long as oil is going higher every day, it's difficult
to say that we will hit a bottom,'' Jack Ablin, who oversees $65
billion as chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank in
Chicago, told Bloomberg Television.
Steel Slump
Nucor, the largest U.S.-based steel producer, slid $10.29,
or 14 percent, to $61.94. U.S. Steel lost $21.95 to $153.40. The
S&P 500 Steel Index tumbled 13 percent, the steepest drop since
September 2002. The gauge is still up 2.7 percent this year.
Demand for primary metals dropped 2 percent in May, the
Commerce Department said today. Bookings for iron and steel fell
1.7 percent. GM said yesterday it will cut North American
production this quarter by about 12 percent after its June U.S.
auto sales fell 18 percent.
Massey Energy, the fourth-biggest U.S. coal producer and the
S&P 500's best performer this year, had the index's biggest fall
today, losing $17.47, or 19 percent, to $74.87. Peabody, the
largest, fell $7.99 to $77.90. Consol Energy Inc., the third-
biggest, declined $16.38 to $95.57. A gauge of coal stocks in the
S&P 500 dropped 13 percent today, trimming its 2008 advance to 28
percent.
Coal for delivery to Amsterdam, Rotterdam or Antwerp with
settlement next year dropped $27.50, or 13 percent, to $190 a
metric ton, according to ICAP Plc prices supplied to Bloomberg.
That would be the biggest retreat compared with closing prices
since March 2005. It jumped 36 percent from June 2 to yesterday's
close.
`Hot Money'
``You're seeing some pretty smart investors who had ridden
this cyclical commodity trade who are beginning to see the demand
for this part of the market is going to decline,'' said Wilbanks.
``Those stocks have almost gone straight up, so you're going to
have a correction and there's a lot of hot money in those stocks
right now.''
Merrill Lynch & Co. lost $1.10 to $31.15 and Citigroup
declined 29 cents to $16.84 after Oppenheimer & Co.'s Meredith
Whitney reduced her second-quarter earnings estimates for the
firms because of writedowns related to the bond-insurer
downgrades and mortgage securities. The S&P 500 Financials Index
lost 1.4 percent, extending its decline over the past year to 45
percent.
`Rockiest Road'
``It has certainly been about the rockiest road in decades
for the financials,'' Shawn Kravetz, a portfolio manager at
Esplanade Capital LLC in Boston, said in an interview on
Bloomberg Radio. ``The question is what earnings will look like
over the next few years. Until you can have a sense of that for
some of these companies, they're just not companies we would
choose to invest in.''
The S&P 500 Retailing Index of 29 chain stores and
discounters lost 2.1 percent as the surge in oil and bigger-than-
forecast decrease in jobs dragged down companies that rely on
consumers' discretionary spending.
Home Depot Inc., the largest home-improvement chain, lost 69
cents to $22.52. Amazon.com Inc., the biggest Internet retailer,
declined $2.18 to $71.44.
Technology shares in the S&P 500 fell 1.8 percent as a group.
Apple Inc., maker of the iPhone, dropped $6.50 to $168.18.
Research In Motion Ltd., producer of the rival Blackberry e-mail
phone, retreated $7.07 to $116.20.
Jobs Concern
ADP Employer Services said the U.S. lost 79,000 jobs last
month, almost four times the number forecast in a Bloomberg
survey of economists. The report, which doesn't include
government jobs, spurred concern that tomorrow's Labor Department
report will depict a worsening employment market.
Payrolls probably shrank by 60,000 workers as employers cut
jobs for a sixth consecutive month, according to the median
estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg before the
government jobs report.
Lehman's Rally
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. climbed $1.40 to $22.36. The
fourth-largest U.S. securities firm is increasing the stock
portion of employee pay this year, a person with knowledge of the
matter said, as part of an effort to save cash following losses
from the credit-market contraction.
Apollo Group Inc. surged $8.52, or 18 percent, to $54.78 for
the top gain in the S&P 500. The largest for-profit provider of
college degrees reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that
topped analysts' estimates after expanding into high school
education.
SanDisk Corp. climbed $1.10, or 6.2 percent, to $18.72 for
the S&P 500's fourth-best advance. ThinkPanmure analysts advised
buying shares of the world's largest maker of flash-memory cards,
saying memory prices may ``stabilize'' on demand from Samsung
Electronics Co. and Apple.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Michael Patterson in New York at
mpatterson10@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: July 2, 2008 19:56 EDT