ACA Agrees to Give Regulator Some Control Over Unit (Update8)
By Cecile Gutscher and Christine Richard
Dec. 27 (Bloomberg) -- ACA Capital Holdings Inc., the bond
insurer that lost its investment-grade credit rating last week,
agreed to give control to regulators to avert bankruptcy.
ACA Financial Guaranty Corp., a unit of ACA Capital, will
seek approval from the Maryland Insurance Administration before
pledging or assigning assets or paying dividends, the New York-
based company said in a filing with the Securities & Exchange
Commission yesterday.
``The events referred to are not the initiation of any type
of formal delinquency proceedings by the commissioner against
ACA FG,'' ACA Capital said in a statement on Business Wire. The
company entered into ``a consent agreement and a representation
letter with the commissioner'' in Maryland, the company said.
S&P sliced ACA's rating 12 levels to CCC, casting doubt on
more than $75 billion of debt the company guarantees, including
$69 billion of securities such as collateralized debt
obligations. ACA reached agreements to avoid posting collateral
until Jan. 18 against credit derivatives it uses to insure the
debt. The regulator held off filing delinquency proceedings
while ACA seeks ways to raise capital.
``ACA is still in deep trouble,'' said Donald Light, senior
analyst with Celent, a Boston-based financial research and
consulting firm. ``Unless it gets a capital infusion quickly,
these recent moves are only delaying the inevitable.''
If ACA is downgraded below BBB+ and is unable to obtain
long term forbearance agreements on its swap contracts resulting
in ``insufficient protection of ACA's policyholders and
creditors or to the general public,'' regulators may request ACA
be placed under conservation, rehabilitation or liquidation,
according to a consent order signed by Maryland Insurance
Commissioner Ralph Tyler and dated Dec. 19.
Canadian Imperial
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce said last week that it
may write down the value of subprime securities it holds by $2
billion because they were insured by ACA. CDOs are created by
packaging debt or derivatives into new securities with varying
ratings.
Credit rating companies are reviewing MBIA Inc., Ambac
Financial Group Inc. and other bond insurers on concern they
don't have enough money to cover potential losses stemming from
accelerating downgrades of the debt they guarantee, potentially
endangering $2.4 trillion of securities.
Telephone messages left for ACA's chief executive officer
Alan Roseman and for Karen Barrow, a spokeswoman for the
Maryland Insurance Administration, weren't immediately returned.
ACA, down 95 percent this year, fell 11 cents to 73 cents
in over-the-counter trading in New York.
`Breathing Room'
ACA has $1.1 billion to cover potential losses on $7.1
billion of bonds it's insured, according to data on claims-
paying resources or capital posted on its Web site.
``It's given them breathing room and a month to stave off
bankruptcy,'' said Nigel Sillis, director of fixed income and
currency research at Baring Asset Management in London, which
oversees $15 billion of fixed income. ``It still looks like
bankruptcy is inevitable.''
ACA, founded in 1997 by former Fitch Ratings executive H.
Russell Fraser, was rated A by S&P until Dec. 19, lower than the
AAA of its competitors. ACA specialized in guaranteeing
municipal bonds with credit ratings that were below those others
were willing to guarantee.
ACA backed $51.5 million of bonds sold to finance the
construction of a jail in Pinal County, Arizona, and $4.7
million of bonds for the city of Deadwood, South Dakota. ACA
shifted its focus to structured finance since 2001.
Home Sales Sour
When home sales soared this decade, bond insurers increased
their guarantees of securities created from mortgages, including
subprime loans to people with poor credit.
They guaranteed almost $100 billion of CDOs backed by
subprime-mortgage securities as of June 30, according to an Aug.
2 report by Fitch. Most of those guarantees are in the form of
derivative contracts. Unlike insurance, those contracts are
required to be valued at market rates at the end of each
quarter.
CIBC, Canada's fifth-biggest bank said ACA insures about
$3.5 billion of the bank's U.S. subprime investments.
Merrill Lynch & Co. may have used contracts with ACA
Capital to pass off the market risk of $5 billion in CDOs, Roger
Freeman, an analyst covering the brokerage industry for Lehman
Brothers Holdings Inc., wrote in a Nov. 5 report. If ACA Capital
defaults on its swap contracts, Merrill Lynch could recognize
unrealized losses on those securities of about $3 billion,
Freeman wrote.
Writedowns
Banks and securities firms already have taken more than $97
billion of credit-related writedowns.
MBIA, the largest bond insurer, earlier this month agreed
to sell as much as $1 billion of stock to New York-based Warburg
Pincus LLC to prevent a potential downgrade. The Armonk, New
York-based company dropped 70 percent this year.
Ambac Financial Group Inc., the second-largest of the so-
called monolines, took out insurance on $29 billion of the
securities it guarantees. The New York-based company's shares
slumped 67 percent this year.
Fitch last week gave MBIA, Ambac and New York-based FGIC
Corp. four to six weeks to raise at least $1 billion or lose
their top ratings. Moody's Investors Service put its top grade
for FGIC under review for downgrade on Dec. 14 and assigned a
negative outlook to MBIA Insurance Corp.'s Aaa rating. S&P has
FGIC on review for a rating cut, and has a negative outlook on
MBIA and Ambac.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Cecile Gutscher in London at
cgutscher@bloomberg.net;
Christine Richard in New York at
crichard5@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: December 27, 2007 22:06 EST