Bernanke Tries to Define What Institutions Fed Could Let Fail
Aug. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Ben S. Bernanke is still trying to
define which financial institutions it's safe to let fail. The
longer it takes him to decide, the tougher the decision
becomes.
In the year since credit markets seized up, the 54-year-
old Federal Reserve chairman has repeatedly expanded the
central bank's protective role, turning its balance sheet into
a parking lot for Wall Street's hard-to-finance bonds and
offering loans through its discount window to investment banks
and mortgage firms Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The lack of clearly defined limits may put the Fed's
independence at risk as Congress discovers that its $900
billion portfolio can be used for emergency bailouts that might
otherwise require politically sensitive appropriations and
taxes.
``There is some hard thinking that needs to be done,''
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser
said in an interview last week. ``The Fed has a terrific
reputation as a credible institution. We have to be cautious
not to undertake things that put that credibility at risk.''
The expanding role of central banks will be the hottest
topic in the room when Bernanke addresses his counterparts from
around the world at the Kansas City Fed's Jackson Hole,
Wyoming, symposium Aug. 22.
Since taking on $29 billion in Bear Stearns Cos. assets to
facilitate the failing firm's takeover by JPMorgan Chase & Co.,
Bernanke has made several moves that imply further expansion of
the central bank's mission.
Student-Loan Collateral
He granted a congressional request to accept bonds backed
by student loans as collateral for Fed securities loans. And he
didn't object when Congress inserted a provision into the
housing bill signed into law last month that makes it easier
for the Fed to lend to failed banks under government control.
``They want to placate the Congress and the financial
markets,'' says Fed historian Allan Meltzer; doing so sets a
``terrible precedent.''
Policy makers are aware of the concern. The Federal Open
Market Committee has ordered a formal study of the implications
of the Fed's broader role in fostering financial stability,
drawing on research from throughout the Fed system.
Under Bernanke's predecessor Alan Greenspan, the Fed drew
a clear line against using its portfolio to influence specific
markets. An internal study published in 2002 warned that ``the
favoring of specific entities'' might ``invite pressure from
special-interest groups.''
Refusing a Request
Just three days after the Fed approved a loan against
Bear Stearns securities, Pennsylvania Democratic
Representative Paul Kanjorski and 31 other lawmakers sent
Bernanke a letter asking him to open the discount window to
nonbank education-loan companies. Bernanke refused.
The 2002 study said such pressures ``could pull the Fed
into fiscal debates'' and ``compromise its objectives'' for
monetary policy: keeping employment high and inflation low.
``How can you be independent on one score and dependent on
another?'' asks Vincent Reinhart, former director of the Fed's
Monetary Affairs Division, who advised both Bernanke and
Greenspan. Officials ``are overburdening the Federal Reserve,
and that sets up the potential for multiple conflicts,'' he
says. ``They use up their credibility on nonmonetary issues,
they lose their independence and they dilute their expertise.''
Reinhart, now a resident scholar at the American
Enterprise Institute in Washington, is one of several Fed
alumni who say they are concerned the central bank will next
face requests to rescue hedge funds or insurance companies
whose failure might damage the financial system.
Hard to Say No
``It is much harder to say no when you have the
precedent,'' says J. Alfred Broaddus Jr., former president of
the Richmond Fed. ``Congress needs to find a way to structure
something else to take the Fed out of this.''
The Fed chairman's decisions are a decisive break with
Greenspan's aversion to government interference in markets, a
conviction that even permeated the central bank's day-to-day
operations.
On Aug. 10, 2005, when Greenspan was chairman, 94 percent
of the Fed's $24 billion in outstanding repurchase agreements
with Wall Street were in U.S. Treasury notes. On Aug. 10, 2008,
only 14 percent were in Treasuries, with the rest in mortgage
bonds and agency securities, according to Wrightson ICAP LLC in
Jersey City, New Jersey. The New York Fed says agency and
mortgage-backed securities ``became more attractive.''
Abandoning Principles
``They have had to abandon all principles that guided
their earlier debates,'' says Lou Crandall, chief economist at
Wrightson. The objective now is ``how you get the most market
impact.''
To Bernanke, the decisions of the past 12 months may well
have protected the Fed's independence from far greater erosion
that might have occurred if the central bank had stood aloof
while financial markets melted down.
The former Princeton University scholar views the Great
Depression as a fiasco that compromised the Fed's credibility,
bringing an onslaught of regulation and a congressional review
of the Federal Reserve Act. If the Fed had walked away from
Bear Stearns, it would have led to higher unemployment, a
deeper downturn and a longer recovery, all of which would have
brought even greater political pressure on the Fed, the
chairman's defenders argue.
``It is not an easy sell,'' Bernanke told Senator Evan
Bayh, an Indiana Democrat, during an April 3 hearing on the
Bear Stearns rescue. ``But the truth is that the beneficiaries
of our actions were not Bear Stearns and were not even
principally Wall Street. It was Main Street.''
Under Stress
Bernanke added that ``the financial system has been under
a lot of stress and that has affected our ability to grow. It's
affected employment. It's affected credit availability.''
Bernanke's actions have been informed by his own research
with New York University's Mark Gertler showing that damaged
banks accelerate economic downturns.
That threat has multiplied in a new financial system where
mortgage lenders may not even be banks, and mortgages are
warehoused in funds off the books of banks.
``We are in a new environment, and the Fed had to do
something different,'' Gertler says. ``Moving forward, the
regulatory structure has to adjust.''
Fed officials have been cautious about suggesting what new
supervisory powers they would like or how their lender-of-last-
resort powers should function in the future.
Expanding Authority
Bernanke said in a July 8 speech that a ``strong case can
be made'' for expanding the Fed's authority over the U.S.
payment system, the complex network of financial plumbing that
handles the exchange of money from such transactions as options
trades in Chicago and stock sales in New York. The Fed also is
pushing for better settlement and trading systems for
securities that aren't bought and sold on exchanges.
Beyond that, the Fed chairman has expressed wariness over
the U.S. Treasury's recommendation that the Fed become the
``market-stability regulator.''
``Attention should be paid to the risk that market
participants might incorrectly view the Fed as a source of
unconditional support,'' he said in the July 8 speech.
Even so, the Fed has already expanded its supervisory
reach. It has become a temporary consulting regulator of Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac, working with the Office of Federal Housing
Enterprise Oversight. An agreement with the Securities and
Exchange Commission allows the Fed to make recommendations on
the capital and liquidity positions of investment banks. The
Fed is also more actively using its authority to supervise
nonbank consumer-finance subsidiaries of bank holding
companies, such as the CitiFinancial unit of Citigroup Inc.
`A Major Regulator'
To ``a large degree,'' it appears the Fed `` is going to
become a major regulator of financial institutions,'' says Ross
Levine, a Brown University economist who has written a book on
bank regulation.
With that comes the danger that measures the Fed has to
take to enhance stability may end up restraining economic
growth, Levine says. ``That can come at a very big cost to
innovation and the welfare of the country,'' he says.
Plosser, the Philadelphia Fed president, says the central
bank is struggling internally with such concerns.
``What has been put on the plate is the broader role of
central banks in their effort to promote or ensure financial
stability,'' he says. ``We have to face up to the potential
risks to the conduct of sound monetary policy from acquiring
these other responsibilities.''
To contact the reporter on this story:
Craig Torres in Washington at
ctorres3@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: August 17, 2008 19:01 EDT