How the Democrats Created the Financial Crisis: Kevin Hassett
Commentary by Kevin Hassett
Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) -- The financial crisis of the past
year has provided a number of surprising twists and turns, and
from Bear Stearns Cos. to American International Group Inc.,
ambiguity has been a big part of the story.
Why did Bear Stearns fail, and how does that relate to AIG?
It all seems so complex.
But really, it isn't. Enough cards on this table have been
turned over that the story is now clear. The economic history
books will describe this episode in simple and understandable
terms: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac exploded, and many bystanders
were injured in the blast, some fatally.
Fannie and Freddie did this by becoming a key enabler of the
mortgage crisis. They fueled Wall Street's efforts to securitize
subprime loans by becoming the primary customer of all AAA-rated
subprime-mortgage pools. In addition, they held an enormous
portfolio of mortgages themselves.
In the times that Fannie and Freddie couldn't make the
market, they became the market. Over the years, it added up to an
enormous obligation. As of last June, Fannie alone owned or
guaranteed more than $388 billion in high-risk mortgage
investments. Their large presence created an environment within
which even mortgage-backed securities assembled by others could
find a ready home.
The problem was that the trillions of dollars in play were
only low-risk investments if real estate prices continued to
rise. Once they began to fall, the entire house of cards came
down with them.
Turning Point
Take away Fannie and Freddie, or regulate them more wisely,
and it's hard to imagine how these highly liquid markets would
ever have emerged. This whole mess would never have happened.
It is easy to identify the historical turning point that
marked the beginning of the end.
Back in 2005, Fannie and Freddie were, after years of
dominating Washington, on the ropes. They were enmeshed in
accounting scandals that led to turnover at the top. At one
telling moment in late 2004, captured in an article by my
American Enterprise Institute colleague Peter Wallison, the
Securities and Exchange Comiission's chief accountant told
disgraced Fannie Mae chief Franklin Raines that Fannie's position
on the relevant accounting issue was not even ``on the page'' of
allowable interpretations.
Then legislative momentum emerged for an attempt to create a
``world-class regulator'' that would oversee the pair more like
banks, imposing strict requirements on their ability to take
excessive risks. Politicians who previously had associated
themselves proudly with the two accounting miscreants were less
eager to be associated with them. The time was ripe.
Greenspan's Warning
The clear gravity of the situation pushed the legislation
forward. Some might say the current mess couldn't be foreseen,
yet in 2005 Alan Greenspan told Congress how urgent it was for it
to act in the clearest possible terms: If Fannie and Freddie
``continue to grow, continue to have the low capital that they
have, continue to engage in the dynamic hedging of their
portfolios, which they need to do for interest rate risk
aversion, they potentially create ever-growing potential systemic
risk down the road,'' he said. ``We are placing the total
financial system of the future at a substantial risk.''
What happened next was extraordinary. For the first time in
history, a serious Fannie and Freddie reform bill was passed by
the Senate Banking Committee. The bill gave a regulator power to
crack down, and would have required the companies to eliminate
their investments in risky assets.
Different World
If that bill had become law, then the world today would be
different. In 2005, 2006 and 2007, a blizzard of terrible
mortgage paper fluttered out of the Fannie and Freddie clouds,
burying many of our oldest and most venerable institutions.
Without their checkbooks keeping the market liquid and buying up
excess supply, the market would likely have not existed.
But the bill didn't become law, for a simple reason:
Democrats opposed it on a party-line vote in the committee,
signaling that this would be a partisan issue. Republicans, tied
in knots by the tight Democratic opposition, couldn't even get
the Senate to vote on the matter.
That such a reckless political stand could have been taken
by the Democrats was obscene even then. Wallison wrote at the
time: ``It is a classic case of socializing the risk while
privatizing the profit. The Democrats and the few Republicans who
oppose portfolio limitations could not possibly do so if their
constituents understood what they were doing.''
Mounds of Materials
Now that the collapse has occurred, the roadblock built by
Senate Democrats in 2005 is unforgivable. Many who opposed the
bill doubtlessly did so for honorable reasons. Fannie and Freddie
provided mounds of materials defending their practices. Perhaps
some found their propaganda convincing.
But we now know that many of the senators who protected
Fannie and Freddie, including Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and
Christopher Dodd, have received mind-boggling levels of financial
support from them over the years.
Throughout his political career, Obama has gotten more than
$125,000 in campaign contributions from employees and political
action committees of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, second only to
Dodd, the Senate Banking Committee chairman, who received more
than $165,000.
Clinton, the 12th-ranked recipient of Fannie and Freddie PAC
and employee contributions, has received more than $75,000 from
the two enterprises and their employees. The private profit found
its way back to the senators who killed the fix.
There has been a lot of talk about who is to blame for this
crisis. A look back at the story of 2005 makes the answer pretty
clear.
Oh, and there is one little footnote to the story that's
worth keeping in mind while Democrats point fingers between now
and Nov. 4: Senator John McCain was one of the three cosponsors
of S.190, the bill that would have averted this mess.
(Kevin Hassett, director of economic-policy studies at the
American Enterprise Institute, is a Bloomberg News columnist. He
is an adviser to Republican Senator John McCain of Arizona in the
2008 presidential election. The opinions expressed are his own.)
To contact the writer of this column:
Kevin Hassett at khassett@aei.org
Last Updated: September 22, 2008 00:04 EDT