European 10-Year Yields Hold Near 3-Month Low on Credit Concern
Aug. 30 (Bloomberg) -- European 10-year bond yields held
near a three-month low as an Australian hedge fund filed for
bankruptcy protection on losses related to a slump in U.S. home
loans, prompting speculation global economic expansion will slow.
Debt was also buoyed as Italy became the second nation in
the $10.4 trillion euro economy to report a drop in consumer
optimism this week, fuelling concern the credit market crisis
will crimp growth across the region. European Central Bank
President Jean-Claude Trichet said policy makers aren't ``pre-
committed'' to raising interest rates next week.
``We still don't know the full extent of the credit market
crisis,'' said Jose Garcia-Zarate, a fixed-income strategist in
London at 4Cast Ltd. ``People are cautious. Everything in the
bond market at the moment is about policy expectations.''
The yield on the benchmark German 10-year bund was little
changed at 4.23 percent by 5:06 p.m. in London, after yesterday
slipping to a three-month low.
The price of the 4.25 percent security due July 2017, which
moves inversely to the yield, fell 0.04, or 40 euro cents per
1,000-euro ($1,367) face amount, to 100.11. The two-year note
yield was unchanged at 3.98 percent.
Sydney-based Basis Yield Alpha Fund said U.S. home-loan
defaults had wrecked the value of its debt holdings. Yesterday, a
London-based hedge fund also said it may be forced to sell assets
backing a $6 billion commercial paper program.
The Basis Yield fund, which filed for protection in New York
yesterday, is run by Basis Capital Fund Management Ltd.
Companies that depend on commercial paper, debt due in 270
days or less, face fund shortages as investors refuse to buy debt
secured by assets including U.S. subprime mortgages.
Conditions Worsening
The so-called structured investment vehicles need to sell as
much as $43 billion of assets as their access to money dries up,
Tom Jenkins, an analyst in London at Royal Bank of Scotland Group
Plc, wrote in a report released yesterday.
Standard & Poor's said business conditions for securities
firms are worse than in the second half of 1998 when trading
revenue slumped 31 percent after Russia's debt default. Revenue
from investment banking and trading could fall 47 percent in the
final six months of this year, the ratings company said.
The Rome-based Isae Institute's index slipped to 106.5, the
lowest since April 2006, and compared with the median forecast of
106.7 by economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. That followed
separate surveys this week showing the crisis in credit markets
is hurting business and consumer confidence in Germany.
Confidence Hit
A report tomorrow may show retail sales growth in the $2.9
trillion German economy, the largest in Europe, fell in July, the
median forecast of 26 economists polled by Bloomberg shows.
``The recent financial-market turmoil has had an impact on
consumer confidence,'' said Annamaria Grimaldi, an economist at
Intesa Sanpolo SpA in Milan.
The ECB will decide on whether to raise rates from 4 percent
on Sept. 6. Trichet, speaking on Aug. 27, avoided the phrase
``strong vigilance'' on inflation, which he's used previously to
signal increases in borrowing costs.
European retail sales rose for the first time in four months
in August after unemployment fell to a record low, the Bloomberg
purchasing managers index showed. The index, based on a survey of
more than 1,000 executives compiled for Bloomberg LP by NTC
Economics Ltd., rose to a seasonally adjusted 51 from 46.2 in
July. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Lukanyo Mnyanda in London at
lmnyanda@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: August 30, 2007 12:14 EDT