Massey Points to $50 Billion Mergers on U.S. Coal (Update4)
July 17 (Bloomberg) -- Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s $10 billion
takeover of Alpha Natural Resources Inc., the biggest in the coal
industry, may unleash a wave of acquisitions in a business where
it's proving cheaper to buy than to build.
Peabody Energy Corp.'s deposits of 9.3 billion tons, the
world's largest, are worth at least $146 billion at today's
market prices, while the St. Louis-based company's stock is
valued at $19.6 billion on the New York Stock Exchange. Massey
Energy Co.'s reserves total about $240 billion, compared with the
$6.25 billion valuation of its shares.
While the worldwide bear market slowed mergers and
acquisitions by 35 percent in the first half of the year,
takeovers of energy and mining companies jumped 33 percent so far
this year as prices of coal and oil rose to record highs. The top
eight U.S. coal producers, worth more than $50 billion, are still
up for grabs.
``In the next 12 months there will be an unprecedented
amount of both domestic and cross-border mergers and
acquisitions,'' said Wilbur Ross, chairman of International Coal
Group Inc. in Scott Depot, West Virginia, and a board member at
ArcelorMittal, the world's biggest steel company. ``U.S. reserves
are undervalued relative to those in the rest of the world.''
International Coal's 958 million tons of reserves are worth
about $11.5 billion, compared with the $1.7 billion value of its
shares.
Massey fell $7.69, or 9.9 percent, to $69.93 amid a broad
decline in energy and commodity companies in New York Stock
Exchange composite trading. Peabody dropped $6.49, or 9 percent,
to $65.69 and International Coal dipped 79 cents, or 7.2 percent,
to $10.19.
Prices Double
Coal prices more than doubled this year to $119.50 a ton on
the U.S. East Coast. Demand soared 33 percent worldwide in the
past five years because coal is combined with iron to make steel
and is used to produce 29 percent of the world's power, according
to data compiled by BP Plc.
Cleveland-Cliffs, North America's biggest producer of iron
ore, is buying Abingdon, Virginia-based Alpha for its 57 mines
and 617 million tons to provide more raw materials to the steel
industry. The purchase values Alpha's reserves at $16.19 a ton,
35 percent more than on July 15.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's largest mining company, said
its joint venture with Mitsubishi Corp. agreed today to buy the
New Saraji coal project from New Hope Corp. for about $2.4
billion. The project is next to BHP Billiton Mitsubishi
Alliance's Saraji mine in Queensland's Bowen Basin.
The increasing need for power in emerging markets also puts
a premium on coal. China, the world's fastest-growing economy,
gets 80 percent of its electricity from the mineral. India uses
coal to generate about half its energy.
United Coal
JSW Steel Ltd. in Mumbai said this week it may buy closely
held United Coal Co. of Teays Valley, West Virginia, for $2
billion.
The 11 percent decline in the dollar index, which measures
the U.S. currency against six of its biggest trading partners,
also makes U.S. coal cheaper to foreign buyers. The euro reached
a record $1.6038 to the dollar on July 15.
``The likelihood of overseas investors is growing stronger
because of the weak dollar,'' Steven Leer, the chief executive
officer of St. Louis-based Arch Coal Inc., said in an interview
last month. Arch shares rose 33 percent this year. The company's
reserves are worth at least $47 billion, compared with its stock
value of $8.6 billion.
Massey Sale
Massey canceled plans to sell itself in June 2007 because of
a lack of buyers. Its shares rose 182 percent since then and it's
now looking to make acquisitions.
``Our stock price will allow us to do some transactions that
we haven't been able to do in the past,'' Mike Bauersachs,
Massey's vice president of planning, said on June 27. The company
plans to buy mines or reserves near its existing operations in
West Virginia and Virginia to spread costs and maintain growth,
he said.
Coal company shares typically trade at a discount to the
value of their reserves to reflect mining and transportation
costs as well as the life of the mines.
American prices are cheap relative to the rest of the world.
Beijing-based China Shenhua Energy Co., Asia's biggest coal
company, is valued at $15.52 per ton in Hong Kong trading,
compared with $2.11 a ton for Peabody and $1.76 at International
Coal.
Rising diesel, steel, labor and regulatory costs are
encouraging companies to sell.
Higher Costs
Consol Energy Inc., the third-largest U.S. producer,
reported a 25 percent increase in its average extraction cost to
$28.32 per ton for the first quarter. Net income fell 34 percent
to $75.1 million. The company has a market value of $16.6
billion.
``Not all coal companies are getting windfall profits from
higher prices,'' said Jeff Watkins, an industry analyst at Hill &
Associates. ``Their costs have increased dramatically.''
``It's clear that steel companies are willing to pay a
premium to secure supplies of met coal,'' Jeremy Sussman, an
analyst Natixis Bleichroeder in New York, said today in an
interview.
Foundation Coal Holdings Inc., based in Linthicum Heights,
Maryland, James River Coal Co. of Richmond, Virginia, and Walter
Industries Inc. of Tampa, Florida, are likely targets of
steelmakers and larger mining rivals, Sussman said. Each is
valued at less than $6 billion.
``After a long lull, and despite lofty asset values, it
appears that 2008 may finally be the year that the white-hot wave
of mining M&A finally spills over into coal,'' said John Hill, an
analyst at Citi Investment Research in San Francisco.
Ross, the billionaire investor who helped consolidate the
U.S. coal and steel industries, says this is the start of a round
of mergers that will prove Cleveland-Cliffs prescient in its
Alpha bid.
``People will look back on this as the first major U.S.
event, not as overpriced,'' Ross said yesterday in an e-mail.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Christopher Martin in New York at
cmartin11@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: July 17, 2008 17:35 EDT