Home-Price Recovery May Be Undermined by Appraisals (Update2)
June 24 (Bloomberg) -- There may be another culprit
scuttling a U.S. housing recovery: low home appraisals.
Flawed appraisals are derailing real estate sales and
depressing values across the U.S., the National Association of
Realtors said yesterday as it reported that existing home prices
declined 17 percent in May from a year earlier.
“It’s pointing to thousands of delayed or canceled
transactions,” Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the Chicago-
based Realtors group, said in an interview. “We’ve had a
massive inundation from members saying this is a big problem.”
Appraisal rules that went into effect on May 1 require
lenders that sell loans to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac to set up a
firewall between appraisers and loan officers to prevent
improper influence. The rules are the result of an agreement
between the mortgage buyers and New York Attorney General Andrew
Cuomo, who said an investigation found appraisers inflated
values under pressure from lenders.
The agreement mandates that banks order a second appraisal
on 10 percent of the loans they sell to Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac, and warns against accepting the higher of any two
valuations. The guidelines have led to more conservative
valuations by many appraisers and a “chill” in lending,
according to John Brennan, research director at the Appraisal
Foundation, a Washington-based trade group. A low appraisal is
one that comes in under the price a prospective buyer has agreed
to pay for a property.
‘Unintended Consequences’
“Sometimes policy can lead to unintended consequences,”
Yun said.
Low appraisals have become a focus of the California Office
of Real Estate Appraisers, which oversees licensed appraisers in
the state. Investigations by the Sacramento-based agency rose 36
percent to 418 at the end of May from the same period last year,
said Bob Clark, director of the office. The probes are looking
into allegations including flawed valuations and use of
comparable sales too far from the subject property, he said.
The new guidelines require lenders to order valuations
through third-party vendors called appraisal management
companies that increase costs to prospective home buyers, said
Brandon Chamberlin, president of Ashcroft & Associates PC Real
Estate Appraisal Services in Vancouver, Washington.
Deals Collapse
Appraisal management companies hire valuators who use
automated systems and work at a discount, instead of experienced
appraisers who have knowledge of neighborhoods and include
factors that can increase a property’s value, such as home
improvements or proximity to schools, Chamberlain said.
At Universal Mortgage Inc. in Brooklyn, New York, brokers
reported at least 15 sales that fell apart due to appraisals
that came in below the agreed upon price.
Broker Isaac Shalom, who reported at least four deals
collapsed, said one buyer who wanted to buy a home at $850,000,
delayed the purchase after an appraisal came in at $750,000.
Real estate broker Vince Saragosa had an $185,000 offer in
April for a three-bedroom home in Royal Oak, Michigan. An
appraiser valued the property at $128,000 and the deal fell
through.
Interfering With Market?
“It’s almost like appraisers are interfering with the
market,” Saragosa, owner of World Showcase Realty in Shelby
Township, a Detroit suburb, said in an interview.
The discrepancy between pending home sales and the actual
number of home resales reported yesterday partially illustrates
how flawed appraisals are thwarting home sales, said Walter
Molony, a spokesman for the National Association of Realtors.
The Pending Home Sales Index rose 3.2 percent in March and 6.7
percent in April. Completed sales of existing homes in May rose
2.4 percent.
“March and April contracts suggested that we should be
seeing higher levels of sales than we’re seeing,” Molony said,
citing longer times between contracts and closings, due in part
to appraisals that come in low.
Cuomo said in December when the appraisal agreement was
reached that the deal “preserves the core goals of ensuring
appraiser independence and eliminating systemic conflicts of
interest.”
Alex Detrick, a spokesman for Cuomo, didn’t immediately
respond yesterday to a request for comment.
When home values come in below the sales price, that’s not
the appraiser’s fault, it’s a reflection of the market, the
Appraisal Institute, a Chicago-based professional group that
represents more than 25,000 appraisers, said in a statement
yesterday.
Wrong View?
“We take offense with the notion that an appraisal is only
good if it happens to come in at the sales price,” the group
said. “That mentality helped cause the mortgage meltdown to
begin with.”
More deals are falling apart in a housing market that needs
transactions to recover from a three-year slump that has dragged
the U.S. into a recession. Low appraisals join a list of
suspected obstacles standing in the way of a rebound that
includes rising interest rates, a glut of foreclosed properties,
and the highest unemployment rate since 1983.
Sales in May were 3.6 percent lower than a year earlier,
the Realtors said yesterday. U.S. home prices fell 6.8 percent
in April from a year earlier, the Federal Housing Finance Agency
said yesterday in Washington.
The number of houses on the market dropped 3.5 percent to
3.8 million in May, NAR said. At the current sales pace, it
would take 9.6 months to sell those homes, compared with 10.1
months in April.
Refinancing Risk
California real estate investor Bruce Norris renovated a
three-bedroom home in the Riverside-San Bernardino metropolitan
area in January and found two buyers willing to pay $165,000. An
appraiser put the value 15 percent lower. The prospective
purchasers walked away and now he’s renting the house instead.
Low appraisals that lead to a sale reduce comparable prices
in a neighborhood and make it “impossible for another group of
people to refinance,” Norris said.
“Appraisers provide lenders with objective information and
value opinions that help protect them from making questionable
loans and investments and help them minimize risk,” the
Appraisal Institute said in its statement. “However, that
should not suggest a bias toward lower valuation. Appraisers
reflect the market, and sometimes the markets don’t act like we
want them to or hope they will.”
Cuomo Probe
Cuomo, a Democrat elected three years ago, sued title
company First American Corp. in November 2007, accusing its
appraisal unit of inflating home values under pressure from
Washington Mutual Inc. JPMorgan Chase & Co. bought WaMu’s
deposits and branches in September after the Federal Deposit
Insurance Corp. took over the company.
The lawsuit followed an investigation that Cuomo said
showed conflicts of interest between appraisers, credit rating
companies, lenders and investment banks.
Artificially high appraisals contributed to record
foreclosures because borrowers ended up owing more than their
houses were worth. Now, critics say, low appraisals are
hindering sales.
“When prices are down, appraisers tend to depress values
because they don’t want to look bad in front of the lenders who
are ultimately hiring them,” said Ron D’Vari, chief executive
officer of NewOak Capital LLC in New York, an investment
advisory firm specializing in fixed income and real estate.
“They over-extrapolate the current psychology.”
Trade groups including the Mortgage Bankers Association and
the Appraisal Institute opposed the agreement with Cuomo because
they say it was written without industry input and harms
relationships between “reputable and ethical” mortgage brokers
and appraisers.
The U.S. Office of Thrift Supervision last May called the
deal “flawed” and said it should be reconsidered. The Federal
Reserve said it should be scrapped in a June 2008 letter to the
Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, now called the
Federal Housing Finance Agency, that oversees Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac.
In the first quarter, loans eligible for purchase by Fannie
or Freddie account for 70 percent of all lending, according to
newsletter Bethesda, Maryland-based Inside Mortgage Finance.
“Just as the lack of careful regulation led to inflated
prices, the return to regulation is reinforcing the downturn,”
said Susan Wachter, a real estate professor at the University of
Pennsylvania’s Wharton School in Philadelphia. “It’s making the
cycle worse.”
To contact the reporter on this story:
Dan Levy in San Francisco at
dlevy13@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: June 24, 2009 15:45 EDT