Bloomberg Anywhere Bloomberg Professional About Bloomberg


 
Sotheby's Falls on Speculation Hirst's Sale May Flop (Update3)

By Philip Boroff and Lindsay Pollock

Sept. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Sotheby's shares fell 9 percent this week to their lowest level since June 2006 amid concern the global art market can absorb only so many dead animals in formaldehyde.

Sotheby's said in July that it expects to realize more than 65 million pounds ($114 million) in its Sept. 15 and Sept. 16 auctions of new Damien Hirst works in London. The inventory of more than 200 lots includes a tiger shark in formaldehyde, a zebra in formaldehyde, a calf in formaldehyde and a foal in formaldehyde.

The sale, which also features paintings and works on steel and paper, is unusual in that Hirst consigned the goods directly and pockets the proceeds.

Sotheby's shares fell 8 percent on Thursday and ended today unchanged in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, at $23.03. They're down 40 percent this year and 60 percent from their peak in October 2007.

``It's very simple: the Damien Hirst will fail,'' said Asher Edelman, a New York dealer. ``The view of Monday night is very skeptical.''

Some heretics postulate that the top end of the art market may finally soften after a roughly decade-long run-up. It's not every week that two Standard & Poor's 500 Index companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are placed under federal control while a third, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., enters into talks with potential buyers after losing three-quarters of its value in five days.

Consumers are paring spending amid higher prices for gas and food and unemployment at its highest in five years. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News this month forecast consumer spending in the current quarter slowed to the weakest pace since 1992.

``The global market for art feels volatile,'' said Josh Baer, a dealer who publishes the newsletter ``The Baer Faxt.''

Fewer Lots Sold

Sotheby's mid-season contemporary art auction on Sept. 10 didn't add confidence to the market. The sale totaled $10.6 million, below the $14 million high estimate, with just 69 percent of lots selling. At the comparable sale a year ago, 81 percent of lots found buyers.

That said, the London sale is a high-profile event and may attract the status-conscious. Baer said it may do well with new buyers. Steven A. Cohen, the wealthy founder of SAC Capital Advisors, famously paid $8 million for Hirst's pickled tiger shark.

``There is still a lot of money out there,'' said Kimball Higgs, senior vice president of Gurr Johns, an art appraiser and consultant. ``The wealthy of the wealthy continue to participate in the art market.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Philip Boroff in New York at pboroff@bloomberg.net; Lindsay Pollock in New York at lindsaypollock@yahoo.com.

Last Updated: September 12, 2008 16:36 EDT

Sponsored links