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Stress-Tested Banks May Struggle as Bad Assets Triple (Update4)

By Elizabeth Hester and Linda Shen

April 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. banks that get preliminary results today of government stress tests may struggle to raise money after bad assets at the biggest lenders almost tripled on average in the past year.

Pittsburgh-based PNC Financial Services Group Inc. saw nonperforming assets -- those no longer accruing interest --jump more than fivefold in the first quarter from a year earlier. They more than quadrupled at U.S. Bancorp in Minneapolis. At 13 of the largest U.S. banks, bad assets increased 169 percent on average from a year ago, according to first-quarter data compiled by Bloomberg.

The tests on the 19 largest banks are likely to focus in part on loan quality as a measure of health. The lenders, which may need to raise $1 trillion in capital to cushion losses according to an April 23 KBW Inc. report, may have a hard time persuading investors to give them cash.

“We’re really hesitant to put money into financials,” said Douglas Ciocca, a managing director at Renaissance Financial Corp. in Leawood, Kansas, which has $1.6 billion under management. “The ambiguity is still engulfing the opportunity.”

The KBW Bank Index of 24 companies, down 22 percent this year, rose 2.9 percent at 4:17 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading.

May 4 Release

Preliminary results were to be disseminated to representatives of the firms by Federal Reserve officials in meetings today. The Fed released the methodology for the exams to the public at 2 p.m.

The Obama administration may ask banks that need more capital to disclose how they plan to get additional funds when the government releases final results on May 4. SunTrust Banks Inc., KeyCorp, and Regions Financial Corp. are the banks that are most likely to require additional capital to withstand an economic deterioration, according to an analysis today by Morgan Stanley. Bank of America Corp. and Wells Fargo & Co. fall into a “grey zone,” the report said.

Loan defaults as of the end of last year were at the highest levels since 1992, data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis show, and could climb as the U.S. economy weakens.

Jobless Rolls

The number of people staying on jobless-benefit rolls rose by 93,000 to 6.14 million in the week ended April 11, the 12th straight week the figure has set a record, the Labor Department said. Commercial loans in default or foreclosure jumped 43 percent in the first quarter to $65.9 billion from $46 billion at year-end, according to New York-based research firm Real Capital Analytics Inc. Property values have fallen at least 30 percent since their 2007 peak.

If the banks learn the results of the stress today, “it’s a week plus until we find out, that’s where the danger is,” said Anton Schutz, president of Mendon Capital Advisors Corp. in Rochester, New York, which manages $150 million of financial stocks. Schutz runs the best-performing financial stock mutual fund over the past year, Burnham Financial Industries. “You get market movement on what might be fact or fiction,” he said.

Even if banks say their capital levels are adequate, the government could require them to raise more money, JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said April 16 during the firm’s earnings conference call.

Bad Assets Gain

“I don’t know what we need to do because it may not be solely up to us,” Dimon, 53, said in response to a question about whether the firm was planning to issue new equity. “I don’t think we need it.”

New York-based JPMorgan’s nonperforming assets grew 185 percent in the past year to $14.7 billion, or 0.7 percent of the firm’s total. Bank of America Corp., based in Charlotte, North Carolina, said bad assets increased 229 percent to $25.7 billion. Problem assets at New York-based Citigroup Inc. rose 128 percent to $27.4 billion, and San Francisco-based Wells Fargo & Co.’s jumped 180 percent to $12.6 billion.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised $5 billion in an equity offering last week to repay government rescue funds. The New York-based company didn’t disclose comparable nonperforming asset data. The stock fell $1.51 to $121.30 at 4:15 p.m.

Investors and analysts have been debating which lenders may require help absorbing losses without full knowledge of how institutions will be judged. U.S. banks have reported more than $550 billion in writedowns, losses and credit provisions since 2007, according to Bloomberg data. Losses at both Citigroup and Wachovia Corp., which was acquired by Wells Fargo, have exceeded $100 billion. Banks have raised more than $400 billion from private investors and the government to guard against loan losses as mortgage defaults surged.

PNC Profits

PNC, which reported first-quarter profit of $530 million on April 23, said the increase in nonperforming assets was linked to economic conditions as well as the firm’s acquisition of Cleveland-based National City Corp. at the end of 2008.

“We’re comfortable with the balance sheet as it is,” PNC Chief Executive Officer James Rohr said in an interview yesterday, adding that the bank isn’t worried about capital adequacy because it is mostly funded through customer deposits.

“The economy is going to continue to get tougher” and “in this kind of environment you do continue to add to reserves just to be conservative,” he said.

As banks grapple with increases in bad loans, many are closely watching unemployment and other economic data to get a sense for how many more losses the industry may have to take, said Seamus McMahon, a financial services consultant who works with Booz & Co. in New York.

“We’re still not out of the woods in terms of how much worse this gets,” he said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Elizabeth Hester in New York at ehester@bloomberg.net; Linda Shen in New York at lshen21@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: April 24, 2009 16:56 EDT

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