By Angela Macdonald-Smith and Christian Schmollinger
Jan. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil traded near a record in New York after reaching $100 a barrel for the first time yesterday on concern violence in Nigeria may further cut output in Africa's biggest oil producer.
Nigerian militants killed 12 people in the southern oil city of Port Harcourt on Jan. 1. Violence has already curbed the nation's daily production by almost a quarter. Gold surged 3.1 percent yesterday to a record as the dollar's slump against major currencies enhanced the appeal of commodities as a hedge against inflation.
``It was the violence in Nigeria that pushed prices up there, combined with the fact that a lot of the bigger players are back in the market after the holiday,'' said David Aleman, a senior analyst at Grand Central Trading Co. in Newport Beach, California. ``The market was looking for bullish reasons to keep going higher and this event fits the bill.''
Crude oil for February delivery traded at $99.31 a barrel, down 31 cents, in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:22 a.m. in Singapore. Yesterday the contract jumped $3.64, or 3.8 percent, to a record close of $99.62 a barrel after touching $100 a barrel earlier in the session, the highest since trading began in 1983. The exchange confirmed there was one floor trade at $100.
Oil, which rose 57 percent in 2007, also extended gains as traders expect a report today will show U.S. crude oil stockpiles dropped to a three-year low last week.
Triple-Digit Prices
Triple-digit prices may bring energy costs near the tipping point that will cause global economic growth to falter. China has more than doubled oil use since New York crude dropped to this century's low of $16.70 a barrel on Nov. 19, 2001. That's soaked up most of the world's spare production capacity amid supply cuts in Nigeria, Iraq and Venezuela.
Brent crude for February settlement was at $97.20 a barrel, down 64 cents, on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange at 10:23 a.m. Singapore time. It rose yesterday $3.99, or 4.3 percent, to close at a record $97.84. Futures touched $98, the highest intraday price since trading began in 1988.
The dollar's 11 percent slide last year against the euro helped boost oil prices because it made commodities cheaper for buyers outside the U.S. and attracted investors seeking a hedge against inflation.
The drop in the dollar and the jump in oil came as the biggest decline in U.S. manufacturing in five years sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its worst initial day of trading since 1983.
``If the Dow keeps falling you may see the U.S. government put some pressure on OPEC to open up those pipelines and increase production,'' Aleman said. ``But OPEC seems content on leaving production where it is, and we've all had time to brace ourselves for $100 crude.''
U.S. Inventories
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, supplier of more than 40 percent of the world's oil, rebuffed U.S. calls to pump more oil when it kept production targets unchanged at its last meeting Dec. 5. The group next meets Feb. 1.
U.S. crude oil inventories probably fell for a seventh straight week last week as refiners put off deliveries to the new year, a Bloomberg News survey indicated. Stockpiles probably fell 2.18 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 28 from 293.6 million, according to the median of responses by 12 analysts before a report later today from the Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration.
``In the very short term, the next day or two, the U.S. EIA data will be very important to the direction of oil prices,'' said David Moore, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. ``If you do get a large decline in U.S. crude oil inventories relative to expectations, then it will be quite likely that the oil price will go through $100 a barrel.''
Nigeria, Pakistan
In Nigeria, Africa's biggest oil exporter, militants have attacked oil installations and kidnapped foreign workers since the beginning of 2006, forcing Royal Dutch Shell Plc to halt about 500,000 barrels a day of output, almost a quarter of the country's total.
Prices rose 2.9 percent last week partly because of the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, Pakistan's former prime minister. Pakistan borders Iran, which holds the world's second- biggest oil reserves, and is located along the Arabian Sea, where tankers travel before entering the Persian Gulf.
To contact the reporter on this story: Angela Macdonald-Smith in Sydney at amacdonaldsm@bloomberg.net; Christian Schmollinger in Singapore at christian.s@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: January 2, 2008 21:56 EST
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