By Bill Faries and Eliana Raszewski
Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Argentine lawmakers will try to block the government's use of $29 billion in nationalized pension assets to repay debt when they consider President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner's plan to seize the funds from private money managers.
Opposition deputies said the legislation is likely to pass and debate will focus on limiting how the government can use and invest the money. Adrian Perez, head of the opposition Civic Coalition party in the lower house, said Fernandez is trying to rush a vote on a bill that should be discussed into next year.
``There isn't a serious country in the world that has spent less than seven or eight months or a year trying to reform its pension system,'' Perez told reporters today in Buenos Aires. ``Their hidden objective has to do with the financing needs of the government.''
Speculation that Fernandez intends to finance the government with the now-private funds has roiled Argentina's markets. The benchmark bond is trading at 25 cents on the dollar while the Merval index remained near a four-year low on concern the takeover is a last-ditch attempt to avert the second default this decade.
``The government isn't really thinking about the consequences of this, especially in terms of investment and its credibility,'' former Economy Minister Roberto Lavagna said in an interview with Bloomberg Television.
Opposition
The social security committee in the lower house may take up the bill as soon as Oct. 27, lawmaker Juan Acuna Kunz said in an interview.
Congress will seek to weaken the president's control of the panel that oversees pensions by giving a majority of its seats to opposition parties, workers and retirees, said opposition Senator Gerardo Morales, head of the social security committee. He said he also wants Congress to repeal the so-called ``superpowers'' the president got to spend excess revenue without lawmakers' approval.
``The government is trying to avoid having to pay interest on bonds and they want to find more money for public works,'' Esteban Bullrich, a congressman of the opposition PRO Party, said in a telephone interview in Buenos Aires. ``We see this plan as illegal.''
Pension Monitors
Fernandez, 55, is counting on her majority coalition in Congress to pass the measure, and sought to expand support by saying she wants a committee of 12 lawmakers to help oversee the funds' management. The coalition, built by Fernandez and her husband, former president Nestor Kirchner, weakened this year when Congress held up plans to nationalize the country's biggest airline and refused to back her decree raising export taxes on farm goods.
Lavagna said any public backlash against the move is unlikely because Argentines are ambivalent or hostile toward the private system. From 1994 to 2007, the banks managing the funds charged fees as high as 39.5 percent on contributions, according to the government-run pension agency. Last year, the government regulated the fees, resulting in an average charge of 23.2 percent on new money coming into the funds.
``Nobody wants to defend them,'' Lavagna said.
`Grab the Cash'
Fernandez announced her plan to take over 10 private pension funds during a speech Oct. 21 in Buenos Aires. She said the proposal would protect retirees from the global financial crisis and denied trying to ``grab the cash'' to pay off debt or finance new programs or projects. The last time Argentina sought to tap workers' savings was in 2001, just before it halted payments on $95 billion of bonds.
Stocks, bonds and the currency have plunged since Oct. 20 on concern the proposed takeover is aimed at meeting financing needs that have swelled as prices for the country's commodity exports tumbled, eroding tax revenue.
Argentina hasn't had access to international debt markets since its 2001 default and demand for its peso bonds has dried up as economists say the government is underreporting the rise in consumer prices. That prompted Argentina to rely on about $8.4 billion in loans from Venezuela since 2005.
``Venezuela was Argentina's last resort,'' said Enrique Alvarez, an economist at IDEAglobal Inc. in New York.
Buying Bonds
The country's private pension plans held about 52 billion pesos ($16 billion) worth of Argentine government bonds as of Sept. 30, according to the pension fund regulator. Fernandez today named Amado Boudou, the head of the social security administration, to also lead the pension fund regulatory agency.
Under Fernandez's plan, the government will be the owner of its own bonds. The move would save the government about $3.5 billion in payments to the private funds next year, in addition to giving it about $4.5 billion in annual contributions, said Javier Kulesz at UBS Pactual in Buenos Aires. Lavagna said the new revenue makes a default ``unlikely.''
``In taking over these companies the state is on both sides of the table -- it's a creditor and debtor at the same time,'' Lavagna said.
Fernandez described the takeover as a ``rescue'' for 9 million Argentines who maintain individual accounts managed by banks including London-based HSBC Holdings Plc and Spain-based Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA. The funds lost 2.25 percent in September from a year earlier. The private funds invested an average of 55 percent of their assets in bonds and 11 percent in stocks as of September, according to the pension regulator's Web site.
`Two Debates'
``This is going to open two debates,'' said Buenos Aires- based pollster Felipe Noguera. ``One will be on how to fund the public sector and the second on what to do with the pension funds.''
Government spending rose 56 percent to 23.9 billion pesos in September from a year earlier. Tax revenue rose 43 percent to 23.9 billion pesos over the same period. Argentina's borrowing needs will swell to as much as $14 billion next year from $7 billion in 2008, RBC Capital Markets, a Toronto-based unit of Canada's largest bank, said Oct. 21, spurred in part by the need to refinance maturing debt.
``The real economy remains solid,'' Economy Minister Carlos Fernandez told reporters at the presidential palace last night.
The benchmark Merval stock index rose 2.4 percent today. The index has tumbled 21 percent this week. Yields on Argentina's 8.28 percent bonds due in 2033 fell 1.4 percentage points today to 27.91 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The bonds yielded 12.33 percent a month ago.
To contact the reporters on this story: Bill Faries in Buenos Aires at wfaries@bloomberg.net; Eliana Raszewski in Buenos Aires eraszewski@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: October 23, 2008 18:15 EDT
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