By Meeyoung Song
Oct. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Gold prices may rise by $100 an ounce by the end of this year and breach the $700 level on renewed interest from investors, Paul Walker, chief executive officer of London-based research company GFMS Ltd, said.
The precious metal could trade between $580 and $720 an ounce in the next six months as investors seek to diversify from stocks and bonds, Walker said at a gold conference today. Gold for immediate delivery traded at $600.10 at 6:30 p.m. Seoul time.
The price of the metal may reach ``$700-plus'' before the end of the year, and may even rise in 2007 to the 1980 high of $850 an ounce, Walker said.
Reasons for gold rising included a weak U.S. dollar, inflation concerns, global political tensions and more money being invested in gold, he said.
Gold for immediate delivery reached an all-time high of $850 an ounce in 1980 on heightened global tension and concern over inflation. It touched a 26-year high of $730.40 on May 12 this year and has fallen 18 percent since on lower oil prices.
``The real price of gold is still relatively low compared to the historical high,'' Walker said. ``The weight of money going into gold in various forms is still there.''
Weak Dollar
A weak U.S. dollar might boost the appeal of gold as an alternative investment. Gold, sold in dollars, generally moves in the opposite direction of the U.S. currency. The New York Board of Trade's dollar index has fallen six percent against a basket of six major currencies this year.
Some investors may also be encouraged to buy gold as a hedge against inflation if oil prices rise. Crude oil for December delivery fell as much as 40 cents to $57.96 a barrel in after-hours electronic trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange today. The contract traded at $58.15 at 6.25 p.m. Seoul time.
Oil prices have plunged 26 percent from the record of $78.40 a barrel reached July 14.
On gold jewelry demand, Walker said ``jewelry fabrication will remain soft but on a global basis the worst of the decline may be over.''
On supply, he said GFMS didn't expect ``any shocks.''
To contact the reporter on this story: Meeyoung Song in Seoul at msong2@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: October 31, 2006 04:40 EST
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